95% Accurate Bollinger Band Breakout Strategy for MT4

Traders can use this info to decide when to enter or exit positions. Many traders combine this with other technical indicators to improve their trading decisions’ accuracy. In range-bound markets, mean reversion strategies can work well, as prices travel between the two bands like a bouncing ball. However, Bollinger Bands® don’t always give accurate buy and sell signals. During a strong trend, for example, the trader runs the risk of placing trades on the wrong side of the move because the indicator can flash overbought or oversold signals too soon. Traders can further refine the Bollinger Band scalping strategy by adjusting the settings of the Bollinger Bands.

At the same time, if the price crosses above the centerline of the Bollinger band a trend trader may take that as a signal to go long. We can gain a deeper appreciation of the Bollinger squeeze trading set up once we take some time to understand the importance of volatility in the markets. Volatility is considered to be mean reverting within the financial markets. This is to say that there is a distinct ebb and flow in the markets. If there is a positive divergence—that is, if indicators are heading upward while price is heading down or neutral—it is a bullish sign. ​The next step—deciding which way stocks will go once they break out—is somewhat more challenging.

Increasing the number of standard deviations, for example, from 2 to 3, can result in wider bands, providing increased sensitivity to price movements. This adjustment may generate more signals but may also include a higher number of false breakouts. Conversely, decreasing the number of standard deviations can narrow the bands, offering greater specificity but potentially reducing the number of trading opportunities. Traders should experiment with different settings and evaluate the impact on their trading results. Bollinger Bands have emerged as a prominent technical analysis tool in the world of forex trading, offering traders valuable insights into market dynamics and potential trading opportunities. Based on where the price stands in relative to the bands, these bands help understand price movements and trend.

  • This is a great spot to consider taking profits as it used market structure known as a double top.
  • This article is going to break down Bollinger Band breakout strategy and what traders should look out for when interpreting these indicators.
  • Traders should define clear entry and exit points, set appropriate stop-loss orders, and determine realistic profit targets.
  • It is just as popular with contrarian traders as it is with trend following traders.
  • A squeeze occurs when the price has been moving aggressively then starts moving sideways in a tight consolidation.

Finally, the long-term trendline is breached to the downside in the first week of February. A downside breakout would be confirmed by a penetration in the long-term support line (line 5 of window III) and a continued increase in volume on downside moves. A tokenexus’ opinion according to the general defi sector Bollinger Band®, as we mentioned above, is a tool used in technical analysis. It is defined by a series of lines that are plotted two standard deviations—both positively and negatively—away from the simple moving average (SMA) of the price of a security.

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The index filter has improved the quality of the strategy, with a higher return, lower drawdown and higher win/loss ratio with fewer trades. The second variation of the squeeze strategy that we will detail was popularized by John Carter, in his book, Mastering the Trade. His squeeze play strategy relies on combining the Bollinger band with the Keltner channel study. Notice on the chart below how periods of low volatility are followed by periods of high volatility. Price Data sourced from NSE feed, price updates are near real-time, unless indicated. Technical/Fundamental Analysis Charts & Tools provided for research purpose.

Essentially, it is very difficult to predict where prices are going next. On the other hand, predicting volatility cycles can prove to be a much more fruitful effort. In the chart below, we see that a fade-trader using Bollinger Band® “bands” will be able to quickly diagnose the first hint of trend weakness. Having seen prices fall out of the trend channel, the fader may decide to make classic use of Bollinger Bands® by shorting the next tag of the upper Bollinger Band®.

For this type of trading, we will use trend lines on our charts and you should have a way of drawing your trend lines on a consistent basis. Using daily charts, the idea is that when the indicator reaches its lowest numerical differentiation methods in python level in 6 months, volatility will rise. The Bollinger Band indicator’s squeezing action frequently foreshadows a large move. Bollinger bands are one of the most versatile trading tools available to forex traders.

Conclusion: is the Bollinger bands strategy any good?

This retest bar should print inside the lower band, according to many Bollinger Band technicians. This indicates that the stock’s downward pressure has subsided and that there is a shift from sellers to buyers. atfx forex broker review Pay close attention to the volume as well; it should drop dramatically. While the price move was not major, this example serves to highlight the conditions that the strategy is looking to profit from.

I have learned another improved way of using the Bollinger Band indicator. What I do before is confirm the candle polarity change for a buy or sell at the upper and lower bands respectively. It has been about 70% efficient but I have always had a reservation that it can work better. I am glad I read this strategy from you and I hope to put it to practice. I find it easy using my phone than my laptop, problem is, on my phone there’s only the middle moving average and don’t know how to set up the outside ones.

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For example, IBM closed below the lower Bollinger Band® on February 26, 2007. Like the previous examples, the next trading day was a down day; this one was a bit unusual in that the selling pressure caused the stock to go down heavily. The selling continued well past the day the stock was purchased and the stock continued to close below the lower band for the next four trading days. Finally, on March 5, the selling pressure was over and the stock turned around and headed back toward the middle band. Just like in the previous example, there was still selling pressure on the stock. The break of the lower Bollinger Band® signaled an oversold condition.

Bollinger Bands trading strategy: How to buy low and sell high

During your testing of the Bollinger Breakout strategy, you may consider sticking to the major currency pairs and perhaps the EURJPY. Elearnmarkets (ELM) is a complete financial market portal where the market experts have taken the onus to spread financial education. ELM constantly experiments with new education methodologies and technologies to make financial education effective, affordable and accessible to all.

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Below you will find a price chart with the traditional Bollinger band study applied to the price chart, along with the Bollinger band width indicator attached to the lower pane of the chart. Notice how periods of low volatility correspond to lower readings on the BBW indicator, and how periods of higher volatility correspond to higher readings on the BBW indicator. On the daily chart, in the previous session the stock formed a strong bullish candle and now it is on verge of taking out the previous highs of 181 levels. Prior to this, stock witnessed some retracement towards 135 levels and post that bulls have taken the control.

A shorter period, such as 20 or 30, may provide more responsive signals, while a longer period, like 50 or 100, could filter out noise and offer more reliable breakouts. Traders should experiment with different settings and backtest their strategies to find the most suitable configuration. The Bollinger Band breakout strategy revolves around identifying key moments when price breaks out of the established Bollinger Bands, signaling potential trading opportunities. When the price breaches the upper band, it suggests a bullish breakout, indicating the possibility of an upward price surge. Conversely, when the price falls below the lower band, it indicates a bearish breakout, implying a potential downward price movement.

When the market makes a lower low, but the RSI indicator shows a higher low, this is referred to as a bullish divergence (a sign of strength). Additional indicators, such as volume expanding or the accumulation distribution indicator rising, can be used. These additional indicators add to the evidence of a possible Bollinger Band squeeze.

You can see price consolidated in that area before breakout to the upside again. You can be a day trader or swing trader but I have always found day trading to be a harder go than swing trading. I did fine with day trading but I started trading to have more free time – day trading is a JOB. If the price is above the upper Bollinger Bands, look for a bearish RSI divergence to signal weakness in the underlying move. On the other hand If the price is trading near the lower Bollinger Bands, look for bullish RSI divergence to indicate strength in the underlying move.


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